Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 4.595571e-05 0.000054 0.000062 0.000071 0.000082 0.000093 0.000105
2025-01-12 3.472888e-05 0.000044 0.000056 0.000069 0.000085 0.000102 0.000123
2025-01-19 2.664374e-05 0.000037 0.000050 0.000066 0.000085 0.000108 0.000136
2025-01-26 2.122805e-05 0.000032 0.000046 0.000064 0.000087 0.000114 0.000149
2025-02-02 1.856914e-05 0.000030 0.000045 0.000066 0.000093 0.000125 0.000168
2025-02-09 1.570212e-05 0.000027 0.000043 0.000065 0.000095 0.000133 0.000183
2025-02-16 1.465730e-05 0.000027 0.000044 0.000069 0.000103 0.000147 0.000206
2025-02-23 1.253476e-05 0.000024 0.000042 0.000069 0.000106 0.000154 0.000219
2025-03-02 1.007082e-05 0.000021 0.000039 0.000066 0.000104 0.000155 0.000226
2025-03-09 8.332591e-06 0.000019 0.000036 0.000064 0.000104 0.000159 0.000235
2025-03-16 6.955279e-06 0.000017 0.000034 0.000062 0.000105 0.000163 0.000245
2025-03-23 5.876241e-06 0.000016 0.000033 0.000062 0.000106 0.000167 0.000256
2025-03-30 4.753363e-06 0.000014 0.000031 0.000061 0.000107 0.000174 0.000270
2025-04-06 3.667461e-06 0.000012 0.000029 0.000059 0.000107 0.000178 0.000282
2025-04-13 2.701441e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000056 0.000106 0.000179 0.000290
2025-04-20 2.036520e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000054 0.000106 0.000183 0.000300
2025-04-27 1.771992e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000056 0.000111 0.000194 0.000323
2025-05-04 1.412006e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000056 0.000113 0.000201 0.000339
2025-05-11 1.335300e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000059 0.000121 0.000218 0.000368
2025-05-18 1.051693e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000059 0.000123 0.000224 0.000384
2025-05-25 7.186395e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000056 0.000121 0.000224 0.000390
2025-06-01 5.096597e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000054 0.000120 0.000227 0.000400
2025-06-08 3.604401e-07 0.000004 0.000019 0.000053 0.000120 0.000231 0.000411